Here's an attempt at the eleganceToday, Mitt Romney Lost the Election
Mitt Romney: 'Victims' comment not elegantly stated.
New Romney Video: Israeli Peace ‘Almost Unthinkable’
Romney Courts Hispanics, Wishes He Were One of Them
Romney on Monday promised to reform immigration laws, but ducked questions about whether he would continue President Obama’s policy of exempting college students and military personnel from deportation. And in a video released by Mother Jones, he is heard saying he could be elected more easily if he were Latino.
A problem ‘entitled’ Romney
NATE SILVER, in Sunday's N.Y. Times Magazine, on his "TIPPING POINT" STATES: "If Romney makes gains in Wisconsin, for example, he will probably also do so in neighboring Minnesota. ... The most plausible range of outcomes runs from Obama losing the election by about two percentage points, slightly better than John Kerry did, to his winning it by perhaps six or seven, slightly worse than his margin from four years ago. Given where the election is being contested, however, the most likely outcome is that Obama wins enough tipping-point states to eke out a victory." http://nyti.ms/POfxPt
"WHY OBAMA IS WINNING," "Unemployment is over 8 percent. Nearly 60 percent of Americans ... believe the country is on the wrong track. The number of people on food stamps is at a historic high and the median net worth of American families is at a 20-year low. If it was true that winning elections is mostly a matter of numbers - as some political scientists and campaign operatives like to argue - Barack Obama's reelection as president should be close to a mathematical impossibility. ... But 2012 is proving that politics isn't just about numbers ... With Obama holding a narrow but so far sturdy lead over Mitt Romney in polls, many incredulous Republicans sound like the Michael Dukakis character in a 1988 Saturday Night Live skit: 'I can't believe I'm losing to this guy.'
"The phenomenon is the result of three powerful factors, according to interviews with some two dozen political veterans from both parties. ..
1) A Democratic landscape: The state-by-state polls this fall make it clear: The 2008 presidential election was no anomaly. The Upper South and interior West are now competitive terrain and will be in future White House races. That means Democrats have more margin for error than Republicans ...
2) The incumbent's staying power ... Obama ... remains in the minds of many voters a historic figure - not just another embattled incumbent. ...
3) The challenger's flaws." http://politi.co/QkWs7
Here’s a good takedown of Romney’s 47 percent claims.
HOW BAD IS THIS? So much for that Romney Reset. This is more damaging than Libya because it feeds the caricature that Romney is heartless, arrogant and not concerned about "people like you." It will fire up the president's base, and it could break through to a segment of low-information voters who could care less about foreign policy. It comes at a time when Romney (facing a coagulating "campaign in disarray" story line) needs desperately to land a punch on Obama. On the other hand, many conservatives are likely to rally behind Romney. Many who don't pay income tax think they do. Here are some questions that will determine how long this story's legs are:
(1) Will down-ballot Republicans distance themselves?
(2) How damaging is the additional tape Mother Jones has?
(3) What does Romney do to show that he does not think 47% of voters are moochers?
(4) How much paid media will the Obama campaign put behind highlighting the line? "It's hard to serve as president for all Americans when you've disdainfully written off half the nation," Jim Messina said in a statement last night that could foreshadow an attack ad. American Bridge 21st Century already turned a web video, the first of what will surely be many: http://goo.gl/y3tHO.
(5) Do Obama's two New York fundraisers today compel him to personally pull his punches or will he engage with the story on Letterman?
But in a preview of what is likely to be a chorus of Democratic attacks launched Tuesday, senior Obama adviser David Axelrod mocked Romney's explanation on Twitter late Monday night.
"Q for Mitt," Axelrod wrote. "So how DO you 'elegantly state' that half of America sees themselves as 'victims' who refuse to take personal responsibility?"
Romney took only three questions during the press conference, and immediately left the stage. The Republican nominee is not scheduled to have any public appearances on Tuesday.
The Obama campaign on Monday tried to raise expectations for Mitt Romney's performance in this fall's presidential debates, labeling them "make or break" for the Republican nominee.
Jennifer Psaki, the traveling press secretary for Obama's reelection campaign, noted that the president had not participated in debates in four years, while Romney had been in about 20 in the past 12 months or so because of the Republican primary. For Romney, the debates represent a "make-or-break" moment, Psaki said.
Obama and Romney's first debate, on Oct. 3 at the University of Denver in Colorado, will focus on domestic issues.
WHY OBAMA IS WINNING
1) A Democratic landscape: "The Upper South and interior West are now competitive terrain and will be in future White House races. That means Democrats have more margin for error than Republicans when it comes to cobbling together 270 electoral votes. As more voters, both transients from other states and immigrants, have poured into states like Nevada, Colorado, Virginia and North Carolina, political demographics in these places have been transformed." And, of course, there's a structural problem with Hispanics...
2) The incumbent's staying power: "Minorities have been harder hit by the recession than whites, yet surveys show that they feel better off now than before Obama and are more optimistic about the future than whites...Swaths of centrist voters believe the president inherited a mess and that George W. Bush and the Republicans are more to blame for the dismal economy than Obama and the Democrats."
3) The challenger's flaws: "Romney's advisers have started coming in for the predictable criticism that's inevitable in a campaign that's losing. But as big an issue is the candidate's own profound weaknesses - he has a résumé that's uniquely vulnerable to attack during difficult economic times and has little in the way of political self-awareness... Beyond his background, Romney also is often his own worst enemy on the stump." http://goo.gl/uZoEI
RICKETTS AD BLITZ LIKELY TO BE ON MESSAGE: "Unlike the controversial aborted pitch for a $10-million attack highlighting Rev. Jeremiah Wright, billionaire investor Joe Ricketts's new super PAC campaign will use themes and players blessed by Romney and his allies". "The Ricketts-funded super PAC announced that it would spend $10 million on ads starting this week boosting Romney.The team assembled to carry out the campaign overlaps significantly with the one behind the Romney-blessed super PAC Restore Our Future, including election lawyer Charlie Spies, and ad-maker Larry McCarthy." http://goo.gl/Lcp5C
ROMNEY CLAIMS HE'S NEVER MET KRIS KOBACH: The Kansas secretary of state is loathed by Latino activists for his hardline positions, and Romney's campaign has called him an "informal adviser." But during a Univision interview yesterday, Romney said he's "not met with him yet." The campaign later clarified that they've met at campaign events but not in "formal policy meetings." CNN's Peter Hamby: http://goo.gl/LJY0a.
Perhaps this is just the GOP’s new strategy? ”Calling a GOP victory in the 2012 presidential election antithetical to the party platform, top Republicans revealed a new long-term political strategy Tuesday: reelecting Barack Obama and making his life even more of a living hell than it already is…’If we are going to make the president a haggard shell of a human being by the time he leaves the White House, we need four more years of never compromising, four more years of miring every piece of legislation in unnecessary procedural muck, four more years of pretending we want to work with the president and then walking away from the table at the last second,’ McConnell added. ‘Four more years! Four more years! Obama 2012!’” The Onion.
JIMMY CARTER'S GRANDSON, a looking-for-work opposition researcher named James, helped connect Mother Jones with whoever recorded the video of Romney's fundraiser. He talks with New York Magazine: http://goo.gl/kNhLd.
STEPHEN COLBERT made fun of Romney's premature Libya announcement: http://goo.gl/cdOA7.
JON STEWART attacks Sean Hannity for hypocritically criticizing Obama for democracy promotion when he praised George W. Bush for the same thing: http://goo.gl/rbUur.
A YOUTUBE VIDEO rearranges quotes from Obama's "you didn't build that" speech to the tune of MC Hammer's 1990 hit "U Can't Touch This." http://goo.gl/hYRRX
FOX AND FRIENDS got pranked by a 20-year-old: http://goo.gl/P4oyB.
CODA - QUOTE OF THE DAY: "My dad, as you probably know, was the governor of Michigan and was the head of a car company. But he was born in Mexico ... and uh, had he been born of uh, Mexican parents, I'd have a better shot at winning this." - Romney jokes that "it would be helpful to be Latino" at the surreptitiously-recorded fundraiser http://goo.gl/ii7yQ
And a truly brilliant one too.