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Thread: Spanish General Election 2019

  1. #1
    Join Date
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    Default Spanish General Election 2019

    While awaiting the experts at Jacobin mag my own messy analysis

    'Sánchez wins and will govern with Cs, or with UP and the nationalists' is the headline story on the Spanish leftside news site Publico this morning . Thankfully there was an apparent swing back left in the last few days and together with the electoral system favoring the biggest party a substantial victory was achieved for Sanchez's PSOE ( the local social democrat party). It is very much Sanchez's moment , he has defeated internal enemies (the old Blairite equiv barons who lost the party stronghold Andalusia) and a now very divided right. UP(Podemos+) lost heavily to the PSOE also but rallied also towards the end . Unfortunately the extreme right Vox had a good result and enter national parliament for the 1st time (again thankfully at the cost of the old corrupt main right party PP) . The higher turnout indicates the left side are to be complimented for getting their vote out this time but % wise it was approx even between putative blocs https://www.publico.es/politica/elec...onalistas.html

    About 43% each for the main centre-left and right , regional nationalists of varying hues about 9% and a long list of small parties about 5
    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Opinio...neral_election
    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2019_S...neral_election

    Awaiting post, pre election analysis at Jacobin includes this. And though a far cry from the hey day of 2015 it is a solid result for them (14%/42 seats) considering the defection of both social-democrat like (former no2 Errejon led who went Independent) and poser left wings(the opportunist former Podem leader who defected to the nats in Catalonia AFAIK). They live on to fight another day . Sanchez said pre-election he is open to an actual coalition with Podemos+ which could fresh problems for the movement https://jacobinmag.com/2019/04/podem...s-psoe-sanchez

    The Irish Times messed up it's results chart a bit, though the brief analysis seems about right
    https://www.irishtimes.com/news/worl...urge-1.3874525

  2. #2
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    Aug 2013
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    Default Re: Spanish General Election 2019

    The (AFAIK) Barcelona paper also messed up it's (Barcelona) chart. The centre-left nat ERC won a noticeable victory there in Catalonia. Podemos+ local affiliate En Comu Podem lost out mostly to the PSOE affiliate PSC dropping to 3rd place from 1st last time . In fact it did well to only lose 5 of it's 12 seats considering Catalan nationalists had little reason to vote tactically for them this time (in hope of getting an official independence referendum). Thankfully Cs didnt advance as they did in the regional election and Vox only won 1 , same as the PP . It says a front related to the far left CUP (which officially boycotts Spanish elections) didnt win any seats , rather confusing as Catalan politics often are (as in very)
    https://www.lavanguardia.com/politic...pana-2019.html

    A similar outcome in the Basque country U.Podemos dropping form 1st to 3rd, the (here conservative) PNV winning and the PSOE gaining at UP's expense https://www.publico.es/politica/elec...s-euskadi.html

    Correction to above; Errejon voted Podemos though he has parted ways to run for local office on a localist platform (More Madrid) AFAIK where he has probably done a deal with Podemos to get elected I would guess .(elections are May 26th) So a rather complicated split https://www.publico.es/videos/764385...les-de-siempre

    And gossip from this morning https://www.publico.es/politica/psoe...io-unidas.html
    (PSOE will try to govern alone without Unidos Podemos or Citizens )
    Last edited by GregTimo; 29-04-2019 at 06:16 PM.

  3. #3
    Join Date
    Aug 2013
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    Default Re: Spanish General Election 2019

    Nothing much will happen until after the local+Euro elections on May 26th the commentator reckons in this vid news piece, but Podemos have declared an interest in taking part in a coalition government (their line being to keep PSOE 'honest' to the 'progressive' cause)
    https://therealnews.com/stories/spai...odemos-for-now

    And 2 pieces from the often academic heavy Jacobin . Eoghan here is an affable Irish emigre and Podemos member who gave a chat/s in Dublin back during the excitement of 2015-16
    https://jacobinmag.com/2019/04/spani...ez-vox-podemos
    And for good measure, another (Podemos sympathetic) view, this time from Catalonia https://jacobinmag.com/2019/04/spani...-popular-party
    Last edited by GregTimo; 01-05-2019 at 09:52 AM.

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