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Thread: Mrbi 16/10/18: Fg 33, ff25, sf 24

  1. #1
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    Default Mrbi 16/10/18: Fg 33, ff25, sf 24

    Politics is the gentle art of getting votes from the poor and campaign funds from the rich, by promising to protect each from the other. ~Oscar Ameringer

  2. #2
    Join Date
    Oct 2011
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    Default Re: Mrbi 16/10/18: Fg 33, ff25, sf 24

    If that was some kind of long term trend it would certainly shake things up.

    For some reason Red C have managed to keep SF at 14% while the other polling company including this one have them at 24%, 20%, 19%, 22%, 24%, 24%, 22% over the last 6 months or so.

    RED C with a zero Mary-Lou effect Vs every other polling company with a Mary-Lou effect. Something is off.

  3. #3
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    Default Re: Mrbi 16/10/18: Fg 33, ff25, sf 24

    Quote Originally Posted by Shaadi View Post
    If that was some kind of long term trend it would certainly shake things up.

    For some reason Red C have managed to keep SF at 14% while the other polling company including this one have them at 24%, 20%, 19%, 22%, 24%, 24%, 22% over the last 6 months or so.

    RED C with a zero Mary-Lou effect Vs every other polling company with a Mary-Lou effect. Something is off.
    Think that it may have to do with the telephone polling methodology and its "secret sauce" adjustments. It also seems to have Labour consistently at around 6% +/-1. Think that there's also an element of prior vote in the adjustments. That might work for the dedicated party fanatics but I think that the floating vote is far more volatile.

    Regards...jmcc

  4. #4
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    Default Re: Mrbi 16/10/18: Fg 33, ff25, sf 24

    This site should be buzzing with the presidential election. Unfortunately it has been spammed to oblivion and many of the good posters seem to have drifted away to Boards.ie, Politics.ie and some other sites. Is it worth starting a thread about the election?

    Regards...jmcc

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