Page 8 of 8 FirstFirst ... 678
Results 106 to 110 of 110

Thread: US Presidential Election 2020

  1. #106
    Join Date
    Jan 2011
    Location
    Wash DC
    Posts
    8,624

    Default Re: US Presidential Election 2020

    2020 WATCH -- DAVID SIDERS: "Harris advisers plot 2020 strategy: 'The SEC primary meets the West Coast offense'": "Sen. Kamala Harris' advisers are privately discussing a rough Democratic primary strategy that would focus heavily on Iowa, but with an eye toward high-value nominating contests coming later in Nevada, South Carolina and California — more diverse states where her candidacy might resonate with larger minority communities.


    "Harris, a first-term senator, would still face significant obstacles in each of those states. But as a black woman who has also won statewide elections in California — where the black proportion of the electorate is relatively small — Harris could be well positioned to compete in both the Southeast and the West.


    "If she runs, she will attempt to stitch together a coalition of Democrats in those swaths of the country — what one adviser described to POLITICO as 'the SEC primary meets the West Coast offense.'" POLITICO
    As a general rule the most successful man in life is the man who has the best information.

  2. #107
    Join Date
    Jul 2011
    Posts
    5,708

    Default Re: US Presidential Election 2020

    Quote Originally Posted by Count Bobulescu View Post
    She's not going to be Hillary 2.0.......
    oh yeah... she already f*cked it up (out of the gate)

    I am so done with BOOMERS!

    (no Kamala for me either)

  3. #108
    Join Date
    Jan 2011
    Location
    Wash DC
    Posts
    8,624

    Default Re: US Presidential Election 2020

    2020 WATCH -- WAPO'S MICHAEL SCHERER in King of Prussia, Pa.: "As his newly adopted party hugs the left, Michael Bloomberg aims for the center": "Wall Street billionaire Michael Bloomberg, a former Republican mayor who once spent $10 million to reelect Pennsylvania's sitting Republican senator, was an unlikely choice to keynote the local Democratic Party's fall dinner here on Sunday.


    "But when he arrived at the Sheraton ballroom, a crowd of about 500 activists welcomed the potential 2020 presidential candidate like a favorite son, mobbing him for photographs during the cocktail reception and applauding him over the salad course long before he took the stage. ... 'I can't think of anyone more misaligned with where the Democratic Party is right now,' said Rep. Ro Khanna (D-Calif.), who recently joined Bloomberg on a tour of technology start-ups in South Carolina. 'The party is not going to nominate someone who spoke at George W. Bush's convention.' ...


    "But if he moves forward, a Bloomberg campaign would not runwithin the Democratic Party as it exists, exactly. His campaign would effectively be an effort to reshape it, and there is clear recent precedent for electoral success by a billionaire who starts a campaign distant from his party's precepts. 'No one ever thought Trump could win, either,' Bloomberg said in a 25-minute interview with The Washington Post earlier in the day, as he flew across Pennsylvania on his private plane. 'Nobody thought I could win.'" WaPo
    As a general rule the most successful man in life is the man who has the best information.

  4. #109
    Join Date
    Jan 2011
    Location
    Wash DC
    Posts
    8,624

    Default Re: US Presidential Election 2020

    2020 WATCH -- DAVID SIDERS: "Decision time arrives for Democrats mulling 2020 bids": "The midterms are over. So when will top-tier 2020 contenders announce, already? The Democratic Party's victory in the House on Tuesday removed a major barrier for many likely candidates, who'd been waiting out the midterms for the sake of propriety and to see how vulnerable President Donald Trump seems. Had Republicans kept the House, several Democrats would likely have taken a pause.


    "But Democrats have now arrived at a decision point, and they'll have to choose whether to announce sooner — as then-Iowa Gov. Tom Vilsack did in 2006 — or wait until deeper into the election cycle, as Bill Clinton famously did in 1991." POLITICO


    -- "Coming soon to the Senate: A 2020 Democratic brawl," by Burgess Everett and Elana Schor: "The biggest 2020 campaign stage isn't Iowa or New Hampshire. It's the United States Senate. Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer just endured a brutal midterm election, but now he's in for an equally challenging task: managing the half-dozen or more presidential hopefuls in his caucus jockeying for position. That group of liberal White House aspirants is on track to be the caucus' most closely watched, and potentially influential, bloc. ...


    "Prominent liberals this year have mostly refrained from theatrics on the Senate floor against legislative compromises or Trump nominees — grandstanding that might have won kudos from the base but put red-state Democrats on the spot. But with the election over, some senators already worry that the chamber will get bogged down as it becomes a proving ground for the 2020 Democratic primary." POLITICO

    As a general rule the most successful man in life is the man who has the best information.

  5. #110
    Join Date
    Jan 2011
    Location
    Wash DC
    Posts
    8,624

    Default Re: US Presidential Election 2020

    In 2018 the D's were defending 23 Senate seats, the R's 10. The 2020 Senate map almost reverses with R's defending 20, D's 12, and one unknown.


    Axios....


    In private conversations after the midterms, many top Republicans and Democrats said that President Trump seemed to be heading into his 2020 re-election race in a relatively strong position.

    • They couldn't be more wrong.
    • In fact, all the big trends are working against Trump and the GOP, based on factors that are hiding in plain sight.
    • Despite the conventional wisdom, many people around Trump and in GOP leadership share this dim view.

    Here are three factors that should worry Trump and the GOP:

    1. The midterm results were actually a terrible leading indicator for him. Turns out that without Hillary atop the ticket, Midwest states like Wisconsin are tough for Trump, and Southern states with rising Hispanic populations are slowly growing more Democratic. Long term, the GOP should be freaking out about this.
    2. Trump and the GOP face two years of public investigations, coming from three different and dangerous directions: Robert Mueller, the state of New York and Congress. Two years of probing hell await.
    3. The prolonged recovery is on borrowed time, and a recession could well hit at the worst possible time for Trump — in the thick of the presidential race. Live by the markets, die by the markets.

    Axios CEO Jim VandeHei and I go deeper on each of those:
    The midterms:

    • Trump has locked his party into a white-man strategy — using the pre-midterm rallies to amp up fears of immigrants and change. The strategy held the Senate for the GOP, since this year's battlegrounds were largely rural.
    • But white men are shrinking, and will continue to, as a proportion of the electorate.
    • Think of it this way: There's not a single demographic trend in America that benefits Republicans.
    • We can see this in the tighter-than-expected results in Arizona, Florida, Georgia and Texas — all ominous signs for Trump's 2020 map. All have rising Latino populations, and are getting more Democrat-friendly.
    • Trump could easily lose Pennsylvania in 2020. He could easily lose Wisconsin. He could lose Michigan. It's clear now that Trump's wins in those vital states were based largely on Hillary Clinton voters staying away — Trump got fewer votes in Wisconsin than Mitt Romney had four years before. Absent one or both of those states, Trump's path becomes tenuous, at best.
    • Ohio held strong for Republicans in the midterms but that's offset by Virginia — Remember when the Old Dominion was the new Ohio" — which went from red to purple and is now undeniably blue.

    The investigations:

    • Trump — who in January will face House Democrats with subpoena power, in addition to the multiple federal prosecutors targeting him — heads into this treacherous stretch with a thin staff and unconventional legal team.
    • The Wall Street Journal reported that federal prosecutors in Manhattan had prepared an 80-page indictment of former Trump lawyer Michael Cohen, before they accepted his guilty plea. That's a vivid but tiny indicator of how many legal fronts the president's orbit could face as cases wrap up.
    • And that's just the New York branch of the investigation. Sources who deal regularly with special counsel Robert Mueller tell us he clearly is sitting on a massive trove of testimony and evidence, much of it potentially problematic for Trump.
    • As "Axios on HBO" scooped over the weekend, House Democrats are preparing to launch investigations on dozens of topics, potentially swamping a White House with rafts of vulnerabilities that have received scant scrutiny while Republicans controlled the Capitol.

    The economy:

    • When growth slows and the jobs picture darkens, Trump and the financial establishment will be left with few short-term tools for juicing the economy.
    • The tax cuts have put the deficit on course for $1 trillion a year.

    Be smart: The gravest threat to the GOP has been — and remains — demographics. Every election, like clockwork, white dominance in voting shrinks by a few percentage points.

    • Demographics don’t lie: The population of Hispanics and to a lesser extent Asians is rising, slowly but undeniably changing the politics of Texas, Georgia, Arizona, Colorado and other states.

    Ask yourself this: Did Trump and the 2018 elections help or hurt Republicans with minorities?

    • Then ask yourself this: Knowing more women vote in presidential elections then men, did Trump and the 2018 elections help or hurt Republicans with women?
    As a general rule the most successful man in life is the man who has the best information.

Page 8 of 8 FirstFirst ... 678

Bookmarks

Posting Permissions

  • You may not post new threads
  • You may not post replies
  • You may not post attachments
  • You may not edit your posts
  •  
Share us
Follow Us