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Thread: The Trump Presidency

  1. #2146

    Default Re: The Trump Presidency

    Quote Originally Posted by Trow View Post
    LOL. It's what i was hinting at earlier about timelines and deadlines imposed by Karen Bradley [Sec of State for the 6 Counties] There'll be a 4-6 week window to fit Trump in if it's ''thunderbirds are go.''

    Pointless him coming at all if things don't work out the way he and Theresa May have conspired.
    Definitely down to the wire...

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    Default Re: The Trump Presidency

    Quote Originally Posted by Trow View Post
    LOL. It's what i was hinting at earlier about timelines and deadlines imposed by Karen Bradley [Sec of State for the 6 Counties] There'll be a 4-6 week window to fit Trump in if it's ''thunderbirds are go.''

    Pointless him coming at all if things don't work out the way he and Theresa May have conspired.
    Do you think those deadlines have any hope of sticking?
    “Me, poor man, my library
    Was dukedom large enough.”

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    Default Re: The Trump Presidency

    I believe the Woodward book has been released?

    I'll have to pick it up, perhaps for my ebook reader.

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    Default Re: The Trump Presidency

    Quote Originally Posted by statsman1 View Post
    Do you think those deadlines have any hope of sticking?
    No. The situation is developing like that hurricane heading for the US coast. Like Seosamh suggests just above, ''it's going down to the wire.''

    Whoever writes Trumps speeches has an editing headache. I mean, how can he come to Ireland and not mention the Good Friday Agreement? The Brexit wrecking ball is in full swing and has the potential of knocking holes in the structures of political stability.

    Jolly as Trump might be to talk up the Bank of America shift of Euro operations to Dublin he'll have to do it from behind that big elephant in the room.
    Happiness is an inside job.

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    Default Re: The Trump Presidency

    Quote Originally Posted by Trow View Post
    No. The situation is developing like that hurricane heading for the US coast. Like Seosamh suggests just above, ''it's going down to the wire.''

    Whoever writes Trumps speeches has an editing headache. I mean, how can he come to Ireland and not mention the Good Friday Agreement? The Brexit wrecking ball is in full swing and has the potential of knocking holes in the structures of political stability.

    Jolly as Trump might be to talk up the Bank of America shift of Euro operations to Dublin he'll have to do it from behind that big elephant in the room.
    Is there any chance the elephant might sit on him?
    “Me, poor man, my library
    Was dukedom large enough.”

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    Default Re: The Trump Presidency

    TRUMP INC. -- LORRAINE WOELLERT, "Trump doesn't drink booze. D.C. weighs whether to let him serve it": "Donald Trump is president, but is he fit to run a bar? A Washington, D.C., liquor board will consider that question Wednesday after a group of city residents complained that the owner of the Trump International Hotel fails the 'good character' test required of anyone who wants to sell wine, beer or spirits in the city. In their grievance to the city's Alcohol Beverage Control Board, the group presented a litany of what they say are Trump's moral failures, calling him a liar, a fraudster and a racist who associates with criminals." POLITICO


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    Default Re: The Trump Presidency

    Quote Originally Posted by statsman1 View Post
    Is there any chance the elephant might sit on him?
    The suggestion does invoke images of his head disappearing up it's rear end. An environment change for him having had his own head up his own hole for so long.
    Last edited by Trow; 12-09-2018 at 01:09 PM.
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    Default Re: The Trump Presidency

    WARNING SIGNS FLASHING FOR REPUBLICANS ...

    QUINNIPIAC has the generic ballot at +14 for Democrats. If that holds, that's wave territory. The poll


    -- TWO OTHER POLLS out this morning have the Dems +12 (NPR/Marist) and +10 (POLITICO/Morning Consult).



    THE INVESTIGATIONS -- "A Series Of Suspicious Money Transfers Followed The Trump Tower Meeting," by BuzzFeed's Anthony Cormier and Jason Leopold: "[S]ecret documents reviewed by BuzzFeed News reveal a previously undisclosed aspect of the meeting: a complex web of financial transactions among some of the planners and participants ...


    "The documents show Aras Agalarov, a billionaire real estate developer close to both Vladimir Putin and Donald Trump, at the center of this vast network ... Now, four federal law enforcement officials told BuzzFeed News, investigators are focused on two bursts of transactions that bank examiners deemed suspicious: one a short time after the meeting and another immediately after the November 2016 presidential election." BuzzFeed



    Manafort now reportedly seeking a plea deal for new trial.
    http://thehill.com/homenews/news/406217-manafort-talking-plea-deal-with-prosecutors-report


    As a general rule the most successful man in life is the man who has the best information.

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    THE INVESTIGATIONS ... "Giuliani: Trump sees no danger in Manafort plea," by Darren Samuelsohn and Josh Gerstein: "The prospect of former Trump campaign chairman Paul Manafort cutting a plea deal with special counsel Robert Mueller's office to avoid a second criminal trial set to open next week doesn't concern President Donald Trump or his legal team, Trump lawyer Rudy Giuliani told POLITICO.


    "'We can see a reason why he might want to do that. What's the need for another trial?' Giuliani said in an interview late Wednesday. 'They've got enough to put him in jail. His lawyer is going to argue they shouldn't. The judge should decide this. Not Mueller. I think it's pretty clear if they were going to get anything from him they'd have gotten it already. 'What's the point of further harassing him?'" POLITICO


    Aboard Air Force One recently, an aide was showing President Trump detailed data, complete with graphics and fine print. Usually the president prefers top lines and the big picture. This time, he was going deeper.



    • The topic of the commander-in-chief's attention: cable news ratings, with a focus on specific shows that are booming.

    Cable news is setting records, books are hot again, newspapers are racking up the digital subscriptions and an op-ed (!) is a hot gossip topic — all because of the national obsession with "The Trump Show."



    • Trump and the media, for all his attacks and despite the cultural chasm between them, just can't quit each other.

    Throughout the 20 months of the Trump presidency, news executives have been expecting Trump fatigue to eventually set in. Not only is there not a single sign of it, we're experiencing the opposite — a rising Trump fever.



    • Viewers and readers, lovers and haters, are addicted to Trump.



    The Trump boom is fueling both old and new media:



    • Not so long after old-school publications fretted about financial survival, digital subscriptions are booming at The New York Times ($99 million in the second quarter, a 20% jump from a year earlier), The Washington Post and The New Yorker — fueled by Trump fascination and extraordinary journalism for historic times.





    • An AP headline after Michael Cohen's plea and Paul Manafort's conviction: "A bad week for Trump means a good week for Rachel Maddow." Typical of the daily ratings entries on TVNewser: MSNBC's "Rachel Maddow was No. 1 on all of cable TV, drawing a solid 3.5 million viewers ... Fox News held steady at No. 1 in total viewers."




    • Simon & Schuster says Bob Woodward's "Fear" sold 750,000 all-format copies (including preorders) on Tuesday — the largest first-day sale for any title in company history. At the Barnes & Noble near Axios HQ, a table full of "Fear" was gone in a day.





    • That follows 2 million in global sales for Michael Wolff's "Fire and Fury."





    • The anonymous N.Y. Times op-ed, "I Am Part of the Resistance Inside the Trump Administration," has drawn 14.5 million page views and sparked a week-long whodunit.





    Be smart: News organizations know they have a Trump bubble — that whenever the 46th president arrives, they could have an audience crash. But they'll worry about that then. For now, they're adding staff and products, to cover the story of a lifetime and to feed an insatiable appetite for Trump.
    As a general rule the most successful man in life is the man who has the best information.

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    Default Re: The Trump Presidency

    Protest was dismissed on a timing technicality. The protestors are free to refile their protest at the appropriate time, when the license comes up for renewal in March 2019.



    D.C. liquor control board declines to review Trump case


    The D.C. Alcoholic Beverage Control Board has declined to review a case related to whether Trump International Hotel should lose its liquor license due to the character of its owner, President Donald Trump. A group of Washington, D.C., residents argued that Trump's character should cause the hotel's liquor licensed to be stripped, but the board said that the character of license owners is reviewed only when licenses are issued, transferred or renewed.
    The Washington Post (tiered subscription model) (9/12)
    As a general rule the most successful man in life is the man who has the best information.

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    Default Re: The Trump Presidency

    THE INVESTIGATIONS ...
    -- JOSH GERSTEIN and DARREN SAMUELSOHN: "Manafort hearing delayed again amid reports plea deal is near": "A federal judge on Thursday again delayed a key pretrial hearing for Paul Manafort, the former Trump campaign chairman, as news reports said he was close to an agreement to plead guilty in a foreign-lobbying and money-laundering case brought by special counsel Robert Mueller.


    "U.S. District Court Judge Amy Berman Jackson had originally set the hearing for Wednesday morning, then shifted it to Friday at 9:30 a.m. On Thursday, she delayed the hearing again, to later Friday morning.


    "The unexplained delays came amid reports of ongoing discussions between Manafort's defense lawyers and Mueller's prosecutors about a potential deal to head off the looming trial. The high-profile legal showdown that Manafort has been facing in Washington in the coming weeks could be an embarrassing distraction for President Donald Trump and the White House in the lead-up to the November midterm elections.


    "Jury selection for Manafort's D.C. trial is, at this time, set to begin Monday, with opening arguments scheduled for a week later." POLITICO ... ABC News, "Paul Manafort and special counsel reach tentative plea deal: Sources"
    As a general rule the most successful man in life is the man who has the best information.

  12. #2157
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    Default Re: The Trump Presidency

    New York primary last night......

    Nixon blamed her defeat on the "high" turnout.......


    New York Gov. Andrew Cuomo bested actress Cynthia Nixon by an almost two-to-one margin Thursday to win the Democratic primary for a third term. Remarkably, he finished four points higher — with 66 percent of the vote — than he did four years ago against Zephyr Teachout, a then-obscure law professor who raised almost no money and received a tiny fraction of the attention that has been bestowed on the former “Sex and the City” star.


    Cuomo’s handpicked candidate, Tish James, also beat Teachout in the four-way primary for attorney general by 10 points. And his running mate, the moderate former congresswoman Kathy Hochul, beat back a strong challenge from New York City councilman Jumaane Williams.

    As a general rule the most successful man in life is the man who has the best information.

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    Default Re: The Trump Presidency

    Manafort has just pled guilty, and crucially, agreed to cooperate. Government has agreed to drop all charges, except two, which will be dropped at sentencing if he cooperates.
    As a general rule the most successful man in life is the man who has the best information.

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    Default Re: The Trump Presidency

    PAUL MANAFORT entered into a plea agreement with the special counsel, which includes a cooperation agreement with ROBERT MUELLER.


    -- THE DETAILS: "Manafort to cooperate with Mueller as part of plea deal," by Josh Gerstein and Darren Samuelsohn: "The deal dismisses deadlocked charges against Manafort from an earlier trial, but only after 'successful cooperation' with Mueller's probe ...


    "The agreement also calls for a 10-year cap on how long Manafort will be sent to prison, and for Manafort to serve time from his separate Virginia and Washington cases concurrently. But it will not release Manafort from jail, where he has been held since Mueller's team added witness tampering charges during the run-up to the longtime lobbyist's trial. ...


    "Legal experts quickly spun the deal as a win for all the parties involved. Manafort gets a potentially shorter sentence and lessens his legal bills. Trump avoids several weeks of bad headlines ahead of the midterm elections about his corrupt former campaign aide. And Mueller ... gets to show yet again that his charges are not fabricated and can now divert resources to other elements of his Russia probe. But the prospect of Manafort's cooperation with Mueller throws into doubt how much of a win the deal could be for Trump." POLITICO ... The charging document... FAQ from Josh and Darren


    -- FROM THE SCENE, from Darren: "Inside the courtroom after the hearing ended, [Manafort attorney Kevin] Downing and his fellow defense attorneys shook hands with several members of Mueller's team, including [Andrew] Weissmann and [Greg] Andres. Prosecutors on the special counsel team hugged each other. Kathleen Manafort and Manafort spokesman Jason Maloni looked on at the scene.


    "After conferring with his colleagues in the courtroom cafeteriaout of earshot of reporters, Downing made his way out of the building and delivered a brief statement outside the courtroom before television cameras.


    "'Mr. Manafort has accepted responsibility,' Downing said. 'He wanted to make sure his family was able to remain safe and live a good life. He's accepted responsibility and this is for conduct that leads back many years, and everybody should remember that.'


    "Manafort has already begun cooperating with Mueller, Downing later told POLITICO as the chaotic scene unfolding outside the courthouse continued down 3rd Street, with the lawyer trailed by reporters and dozens of photographers and television cameramen, including one who tumbled onto the street while walking backward to capture the lawyer's departure and another who lost a shoe but continued taking pictures. Downing said Manafort had 'agreed to fully cooperate' and added that the document approved in court Friday spells out how the arrangement would work."


    FOR CONTEXT -- KYLE CHENEY (@kyledcheney): "Mueller track record: MANAFORT: Pleaded guilty ... FLYNN: Pleaded guilty ... GATES: Pleaded guilty ... PAPADOPOULOS: Pleaded guilty. ... PINEDO: Pleaded guilty ... VAN DER ZWAAN: Pleaded guilty ... KILIMNIK: Charged ... 25 RUSSIANS: Charged ... 3 COMPANIES: Charged ... Played role in pleas of: COHEN, PATTEN."


    FLASHBACK -- @realDonaldTrump on Aug. 22: "I feel very badly for Paul Manafort and his wonderful family. 'Justice' took a 12 year old tax case, among other things, applied tremendous pressure on him and, unlike Michael Cohen, he refused to 'break' -- make up stories in order to get a 'deal.' Such respect for a brave man!" (h/t Jonathan Lemire)
    As a general rule the most successful man in life is the man who has the best information.

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    Default Re: The Trump Presidency

    By all measures of American politics, this should be the moment Republicans cement an unstoppable governing majority:

    • They have a booming economy ... a Senate map you fantasize about (10 Democrats up for re-election in Trump country) ... House districts carved to their advantage ... and tons of rich donors.
    • Charlie Cook of Cook Political Report emails me: "From the presidency, to Congress, governors and state legislatures, Republicans hold more offices than any time since the 1920s. ... This is the most favorable Senate map that either party has had in modern history, maybe ever. ... Things don’t get much better."

    Instead, Republicans are blowing it — often in mind-boggling ways, officials tell Axios CEO Jim VandeHei and me:

    • In a record number of House races, they're being outraised by Democrats who control nothing.
    • They're suffering retirements at record rates — putting very winnable House seats like Speaker Ryan’s at far greater risk.
    • They look unlikely to win more than one or two — if any — of the Senate seats held by Democrats in states Trump won in 2016.
    • There's a 40% chance they blow the entire majority, based on our conversations with GOP leaders.
    • They seem unlikely to reap much of the benefit from economic indicators that should be gold to run on. Think about it: They delivered huge tax cuts; unemployment is, remarkably, below 4%; wages are rising; economic optimism is surging.
    • They're sucking wind in campaign after campaign.
    • And they're alienating women — prompting a record number to run and vote. Remember: More women vote in presidential elections than men.

    A Republican official deeply involved in midterm campaigns told me: "If there was any way to reduce the noise (unlikely!!) we could survive. [There's] so much noise [that it doesn't] allow people to realize economy/life is good."
    Be smart: This election could echo long from now. Republicans seem certain to end this election even more defined as the party of white men, a group slowly but surely shrinking in power.

    • There's a reason that the party’s autopsy after the 2012 election called for an urgent push for inclusion: Demographics don’t lie.







    The Lawfare blog summed up Friday this way: "Only three weeks ago, the president of the United States lauded Paul Manafort for bravely rejecting any cooperation with Special Counsel Robert Mueller. Today, Manafort buckled."

    -- CNN's Katelyn Polantz: "Friday's court activity signals Mueller's investigation will continue and delve deeper into what Manafort knows..."

    -- Jeffrey Toobin said on "The Situation Room" that the Mueller team got what they wanted: "He confessed to an extraordinary number of crimes. This guy, Paul Manafort was basically a one-man crime wave..."


    As a general rule the most successful man in life is the man who has the best information.

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