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Thread: Prospect of Invasion of Syria

  1. #2731
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    Sep 2014
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    Default Re: Prospect of Invasion of Syria

    Quote Originally Posted by Sam Lord View Post
    If you had read the article you would have understood how they did this instead of posting *bs.
    No I hadn't, as I didn't think I needed to in order to dismiss it. Now I have and I was absolutely right.

    "For security reasons, the FFM was unable to visit Khan Shaykhun." And just why would that be? If things were exactly as al-Nusra portrayed them, they would have welcomed the FFM with open arms.

    Nor is there any mention of the repeated invitations from the Syrian government to visit the military base from which the flight came.

    In American jurisprudence, there is a basic concept called "chain of custody." All of the evidence used by the OPCW to determine this passed through the hands of al-Nusra first. And all eyewitness witnesses were likely carefully selected by al-Nusra. (And just what were those samples allegedly provided by the Syrian government, which of course is not in Khan Sheykhoun? A clever bit of disinformation to confuse the readers.)

    Did the Syrian pilot who conducted the air raid drop Sarin on Khan Sheykhoun? Perhaps. But this basically worthless report tells us nothing. It has all the earmarks of a report whose conclusions were written before the investigation began, whose purpose was to confirm them. No wonder the Russians don't want to support a "JIM" with the same mandate.

    -AMH-

  2. #2732
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    Feb 2010
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    Default Re: Prospect of Invasion of Syria

    Quote Originally Posted by A Marxist Historian View Post
    Well, not quite. The latest from the Trumpistas is that the Syrian regime, trembling in fear of Trump, has called off the Syrian gas attack they had planned, and Trump has celebrated another victory.

    They slaver all right, but the bark seems louder than the bite. After that Syrian plane was shot down, and the Russians announced that they would be targeting any US planes thenceforth flying over Syrian government territory, that seems to have had as it were a bracing effect.

    Meanwhile the Syrian regime has thoroughly won the race for the border, totally blocking the "Syrian rebels" from any share of the deflating ISIS pie. Not only that, but the Assad forces have blocked any further progress south by the US paratrooperss at the Tabqadam west of Raqqah, and now that ISIS has abandoned East Aleppo, they will likely soon move to block Raqqah from the south also.

    And the Syrian rebels are trying a truly desperate last throw, namely an attempted advance on Damascus more or less from the Golan Heights, directly aided by the Israeli airforce bombing the Syrian army. Even that has gotten nowhere basically.

    -AMH-

    The alignment of some opposition militias with Israel/ the IDF is getting more and more blatant.
    “ We cannot withdraw our cards from the game. Were we as silent and mute as stones, our very passivity would be an act. ”
    — Jean-Paul Sartre

  3. #2733
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    Default Re: Prospect of Invasion of Syria

    Quote Originally Posted by C. Flower View Post
    The alignment of some opposition militias with Israel/ the IDF is getting more and more blatant.
    Especially since the press is claiming that the US has abandoned them. Meaning they need a new patron, and Israel is handy.

    And something actually significant militarily just happened. As the SDF offensive into Raqqah has bogged down, no doubt due to a considerable degree to the SDF having to pull back some of its forces to fend off the impending Turkish invasion of the Kurdish pocket on the Turkish border in northwest Syria, the Syrian army has reached the Euphrates, blocking the possibility of the SDF and the US from grabbing any more of Syria from ISIS. The latest war map, from anti-government rather than pro-government sources, should illustrate what I mean. Blow it up for the area south of Raqqah, and you see how the SDF has been cut off.

    https://syria.liveuamap.com/

    As can be seen from the map, the Syrian government forces had already blocked the syrian rebels off from benefitting from the inevitable collapse of ISIS. Now Trump's preferred pawns, the SDF, have been similarly blocked. Making it inevitable that sooner or later all ISIS-held Syria will fall to Assad-and whatever is left of Raqqah soon after. And the increasing dominance of HTS over the Syrian rebels, especially in Idlib, will facilitate cleaning out the remaining pockets of Syrian rebeldom in the aftermath. Then would come a grand, bloody, mass murderous confrontation with the Kurds, giving the US the opportunity to, once again, betray the Kurds as it has done so often before.

    But none of this right away. As you can also see from the map, it would be very dangerous for the Assad forces to advance much further, while you still have a significant ISIS stronghold in their rear. Even now, all the new Assad conquests in northeast Syria are supplied through an extremely narrow bottleneck in continuing danger of being cut off, in the eastern part of Homs province.

    According to Southfront, since the fall of Mosul and the cutoff of the ISIS garrison in Raqqah, ISIS has concentrated major forces there, presumably hoping the Assad forces will overextend themselves trying to break through to the Deir Ezzor garrison. While the Assad forces have advanced rapidly up to and south of Raqqah, attempts to clear out the rear have thus far failed, for whatever reason.

    Southfront claims that this area is strategically not just tactically important for ISIS, as it is by way of this ISIS strongholfd, which communicates easily with the Syrian rebel stronghold around Idlib and thence with Turkey, that ISIS get what outside assistance it still can, and can still export oil for cash and guns. There are quite a few oil wells in central and eastern Syria, indeed quite a bit of recent fighting has been over those oil wells.

    -AMH-

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