View Poll Results: How will you be voting in the Fiscal Stability Treaty Referendum?

Voters
129. This poll is closed
  • Yes

    13 10.08%
  • No

    86 66.67%
  • Don't know

    4 3.10%
  • Denied a vote because you are an emigrant

    26 20.16%
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Thread: Opinion Polls - Fiscal Stability Treaty Referendum May 2012

  1. #1
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    Default Opinion Polls - Fiscal Stability Treaty Referendum May 2012

    http://stephenspillane.com/blog/inde...medium=twitter


    The poll by Behaviour and Attitudes survey of 946 over seven days ending on Tuesday.

    The topline figures on the Treaty Referendum are as follows:

    Yes: 42%
    No: 27%
    Undecided: 31%
    When undecideds are excluded the the figures look more familiar:

    Yes: 61%
    No: 39%
    So no major news there. The interest is when people were asked to they understand the treaty, the responses were as follows:

    Understood Very Well: 6%
    Understand Quite Well: 12%
    Understand to some extent: 27%
    Do not understand it particularly well: 23%
    Do not understand it all: 32%
    The big task on the Yes sides now will be to get the 55% of people who don’t understand to understand! If the Yes manages that will win the referendum on May 31st!
    Claire McGing on twitter says -

    50% of men are on yes & 33% women, while 22% of men & 39% of women don't know.
    Last edited by C. Flower; 29-04-2012 at 03:19 PM.

  2. #2
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    Default Re: Poll - Fiscal Stability Treaty Referendum May 2012

    SBP 24th March

    http://www.rte.ie/news/2012/0324/referendum.html

    Just over 1,000 voters around the country were questioned for the Sunday Business Post poll between Monday and Wednesday.
    These show that 49% say they will vote yes, up five points since the last poll three weeks ago. 33% say they will vote no - an increase of four points - while 18% remain undecided.
    When they are excluded, the yes side leads by 60% to 40% - the same as three weeks ago.
    http://www.rte.ie/news/2012/0428/pol...y-support.html

    Sunday Business Post Poll, today.


    47% of those asked said they would vote for the Treaty, while 35% said they would vote no - up two points. 18% said they had not made up their minds.

    1,000 voters around the country were questioned between Monday and Wednesday for the poll, with those unlikely to vote removed from the results.
    Excluding undecided voters, 58% are for and 42% against - a slight move against the Treaty since the end of last month.

    Support for the Treaty among Fianna Fáil voters has dropped significantly, down from 72% to 52%.

    The campaign does not formally get underway until Minister Phil Hogan signs the Referendum Order on Monday, however both sides are already getting their campaigns into shape.
    6 % difference in it, in terms of the shift required.

    Much will depend on who actually gets out and votes.
    Last edited by C. Flower; 29-04-2012 at 03:18 PM.

  3. #3
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    Default Re: Opinion Polls - Fiscal Stability Treaty Referendum May 2012

    It would appear that FG HQ have not sent the party members instructions to debase our poll yet
    "The land Coillte Teo is now selling for development was given to them by the State in 1988 to ensure that our woodlands were run commercially, not to enable them to sell the family silver to service bank loans".
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    Wink Re: Opinion Polls - Fiscal Stability Treaty Referendum May 2012

    Quote Originally Posted by C. Flower View Post

    Claire McGing on twitter says -

    50% of men are on yes & 33% women, while 22% of men & 39% of women don't know.
    The women who dont know... refuse to ask for directions!!!

    ;-p

    Sorry... couldnt resist!!! rotfl!!!

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    Default Re: Opinion Polls - Fiscal Stability Treaty Referendum May 2012

    Latest SBP/Red C > Yes: 50% (-3), No: 31% (nc), Don't know: 19% (+3)

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    Default Re: Opinion Polls - Fiscal Stability Treaty Referendum May 2012

    Quote Originally Posted by Dr. FIVE View Post
    Latest SBP/Red C > Yes: 50% (-3), No: 31% (nc), Don't know: 19% (+3)
    It does raise the question about our relationship with Europe.
    I would imagine such a referendum would be laughed at in the majority of Euro countries.
    Surely the irony is that we are most un-European, if the latest polls are correct.
    "This isn't working,
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    Default Re: Opinion Polls - Fiscal Stability Treaty Referendum May 2012

    Quote Originally Posted by Dr. FIVE View Post
    Latest SBP/Red C > Yes: 50% (-3), No: 31% (nc), Don't know: 19% (+3)
    Obviously a lot of soft Yes votes in that original 50%, while the No vote is rock hard.

    The arrival of Ganley into the debate is, in my opinion the reason for the change.

    His insistence on including the Bank reparations in the debate will definitely win Votes to the No side.

    Also his questioning of the ability of the ESM to manage to fund the likes of Spain, as well as the legality of the ESM will prevent the Yes side from constantly referring to the ESM as the whole basis for voting Yes.

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    Default Re: Opinion Polls - Fiscal Stability Treaty Referendum May 2012

    Quote Originally Posted by MPB View Post
    Obviously a lot of soft Yes votes in that original 50%, while the No vote is rock hard.

    The arrival of Ganley into the debate is, in my opinion the reason for the change.

    His insistence on including the Bank reparations in the debate will definitely win Votes to the No side.

    Also his questioning of the ability of the ESM to manage to fund the likes of Spain, as well as the legality of the ESM will prevent the Yes side from constantly referring to the ESM as the whole basis for voting Yes.
    Ganley is a busted flush.
    His ability to influence the outcome is overstated.
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    Default Re: Opinion Polls - Fiscal Stability Treaty Referendum May 2012

    A lot of support he would get would be Thatcherite types who would already be voting no in hope of killing the CPA.
    Still might pick up a few though. He picked up a couple of thousand votes in euros and west will probably be returning the strongest no.

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    Default Re: Opinion Polls - Fiscal Stability Treaty Referendum May 2012

    Quote Originally Posted by Dr. FIVE View Post
    A lot of support he would get would be Thatcherite types who would already be voting no in hope of killing the CPA.
    Still might pick up a few though. He picked up a couple of thousand votes in euros and west will probably be returning the strongest no.
    Aye, his people will already be counted on the no side.
    He'll have little influence on the result.
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    Default Re: Opinion Polls - Fiscal Stability Treaty Referendum May 2012

    Quote Originally Posted by Griska View Post
    Ganley is a busted flush.
    His ability to influence the outcome is overstated.
    Personally he may not be doing much, but having a few posters about the place won't harm the "No" sentiment.

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    Default Re: Opinion Polls - Fiscal Stability Treaty Referendum May 2012

    Oh, and the eurozone is collapsing.
    "Fascinating, watching the world act as though it still had a financial system. Using the toilet, when the pipes are gone." - some guy on twitter

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    Default Re: Opinion Polls - Fiscal Stability Treaty Referendum May 2012

    Face it folks. Ganley may be a sleaze-ball, but in a referendum, the side which is consistently trailing in the polls needs all the allies it can get.

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    Default Re: Opinion Polls - Fiscal Stability Treaty Referendum May 2012

    Quote Originally Posted by Richardbouvet View Post
    Face it folks. Ganley may be a sleaze-ball, but in a referendum, the side which is consistently trailing in the polls needs all the allies it can get.
    Stop it.
    You're making me feel dirty
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    Default Re: Opinion Polls - Fiscal Stability Treaty Referendum May 2012

    Quote Originally Posted by unspecific715 View Post
    Oh, and the eurozone is collapsing.
    This is the most important factor. Voters can't vote for the government's stability spin, when everyday JP Morgan is down the tubes, then Greece. Spain etc.-- this is what is unfolding in the last days of the referendum campaign

    http://laroucheirishbrigade.wordpres...ional-suicide/
    Last edited by rebellin; 19-05-2012 at 02:26 AM.
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